Monday, March 23, 2009

Monday, March 23, Pre-Market Open Comments


Last Thurday was a tame day for the market. Traded volume was light giving apperances of a temporary market correction in a long string of up days. But Friday 's volume was strong, the type of decline day needed to mark a market trend turn-around.

The markets are euphoric with Turbo Tim's plan. At this time, Dow futures are up 146 and the S&P 16. Asian markets are up between 2% and 5%, and the European markets are up 1% to 2.5%.

There should be some good up volume today as bulls finally have something to cheer about. The market is oversold short-term coming out of Friday, so this should be an up day most all the way. We could see a couple consecutive rally days here, but intermediate term, the market is over-bought and the overall outlook for this week is down.

I will post if there are any significant developments during the day.

11:45 AM EST Update:

The S&P is hovering right at 800. If we close above here today, then we might be off to the races. The next stops up are 830; then 875. Might be time to go long.

I'll have to do more market anlaysis after close to see if a continuing rally is viable. From my perspective, I still think the market will decline this week before continuing a rally (if it does). A bigger correction is needed than the two down days last week, but stranger things have happened.

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